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ベルーの決断 －フランス大統領選に大きな影響
中道路線のフランスワ・ベルーは第１回目の選挙で第５位であった。ほとんど注目されることはなかったこの政治家について書かれている。
彼は一貫してサルコジに批判を展開してきており、サルコジの権力乱用を激しく論難してきた人物である。
フランス政界にあって中道は右派に擦り寄り、そのことで大臣ポストを得るというようなスタンスが強い。そうしたなかにあってベルーは毅然とした態度でサルコジ批判を続けていた。しかし、中道が社会党の政治家に票を入れるというのは前代未聞といっていいできごとである。
ベルーはそれを行った。「私はオランドに票を入れる」と。これはサルコジには大きな痛手となる。ベルーはフランス政界では孤立した人という評価を得ているが、同時に、じつは世論調査では最も人気のある政治家なのである。
フロン・ナショナル党のルパンがサルコジを支持することはなかったのと（彼女は、６月の議会選挙に焦点を移している）、いまベルーがオランドを支持するとの表明を出したことで、サルコジは大きな痛手を蒙っている。
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François Bayrou: the lonely centrist who looks set to decide the French election
In declaring that he will vote for François Hollande, Bayrou is the first centrist to back a Socialist in a presidential election
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Agnès Poirier
guardian.co.uk, Friday 4 May 2012 17.18 BST
Article history
François Bayrou announced this week that he would vote for François Hollande in the second round of the French presidential election on Sunday. Photograph: Francois Guillot/AFP/Getty Images
It was a shocking surprise to many but not to those who, like me, voted for him in the first round of the French presidential elections two weeks ago. On hearing the news, Nicolas Sarkozy choked with rage and François Hollande sighed with relief. They both knew that the outcome of this Sunday's second round may have been decided just then, at the precise moment centrist François Bayrou uttered the words:
"Nicolas Sarkozy's strategy since the first round has been a violent one, one that goes against our values, and not only mine or my political movement's, but against General de Gaulle's values and those of a Republican and social right … In these circumstances, indecision is impossible. My vote for François Hollande will allow a much needed national union … There are times in history when certain choices become vital. We must all come together; overcome our differences, to build France anew."
Such a decision must not have been easy for someone who, in his own words, is not on the left and will never belong to it; someone for whom public deficit must be quelled, and spending frozen until further notice. Bayrou belongs to the centre which, in French politics, has always leaned to the right, and lived in the shadow of the mainstream right party of the day – in its shadow and under its thumb. French centrists have always been too interested in their own political careers, preferring to take part in rightwing governments than keep to a line and make an intellectual case for a third way – not à la Tony Blair, more perhaps à la Lib Dem.
The centre in France, an ill-defined political family, has often been derided for its fickleness and weakness with some notable exceptions. For instance, prime minister Raymond Barre, who never belonged to any political party, made a serious run for the presidency in 1988. But with only 16.6% of the votes on the first round, he came third behind Jacques Chirac and François Mitterrand, and eventually backed the rightwing Chirac.
Bayrou strikes a different and even more remarkable figure in that he is the first French centrist to say he will vote for a Socialist in a presidential election. In fact, for more than five years, Bayrou has proved to be the most vociferous, and bravest, opponent of Sarkozy. In a book published in 2009, Abuse of Power, he detailed Sarkozy's many improper uses of authority since his election in 2007, and in no uncertain terms. As a result, Bayrou lost many political lieutenants and allies who sided with Sarkozy in the hope of getting governmental positions. For the past five years, he has been "the lonely man" of French politics but also, according to polls, France's most popular politician.
Bayrou has everything to lose from stating that he will cast his vote for Hollande on Sunday. His own political movement is likely to implode as a result; the right may never forgive him and the left might fail to acknowledge his vital contribution. But he doesn't care; he feels his responsibility is first of all to history. His detractors say he is a loner, but perhaps Bayrou is simply a free man.
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